Introduction
As the cryptocurrency world eagerly anticipates the potential approval of a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the market experiences a surge in volatility. The recent liquidation of shorts, resulting in over $100 million in losses for bearish traders, indicates the high stakes involved in this pivotal moment for Bitcoin.
The excitement around Bitcoin ETFs stems from their potential to bring mainstream legitimacy to the cryptocurrency market. However, a closer look reveals a nuanced landscape where opinions diverge on the impact of such approvals.
The Bull Case for Bitcoin ETFs
Standard Chartered Bank has predicted a potential inflow of $50-100 billion into Bitcoin if a Bitcoin ETF gets approved.
The Bear Case for Bitcoin ETFs
The SEC’s historical concerns about market manipulation in the cryptocurrency space cast a shadow on the impending decision. The decentralized nature of Bitcoin’s pricing raises questions about the vulnerability of ETFs to market manipulation, a concern that has delayed approvals for over a decade.
Even if approved, the question of who truly benefits from Bitcoin ETFs lingers. While they signal maturity for the crypto market, critics argue that they may alter the fundamental principles laid out by Satoshi Nakamoto. The possibility of increased market surveillance, coupled with rising costs for underlying assets, challenges the ethos of decentralized finance.
The mother of all macro predictions: Expert analysis by Doctor Profit
As you can see I got 8 out of 10 predictions right in the last two years, giving perfect predictions for the next big Bitcoin move and been wrong only twice with absolute minor mistake as you can see in the chart
So what I am expecting next is a fake bull sentiment which already happened, the correction is very close after approval/ rejection, after 30-40% correction the rise of the golden bull starts and we can expect new all time high by the end of the year
Important, these are the next macro steps:
- 30-40% correction towards 35k region
- People will lose hope, boring till halving
- People lose hope, they say ETF failure
- Start of huge green candle smashing 48k
- Huge candles within few days reaching 60k
- Small correction towards 55k, then up again
- Will take first batch of profits in region of 80k
For that, keep holding spot and I dont even think about realizing early profit, or sell early.
Regarding the both mistakes mentioned in the chart, when Bitcoin was at 60k I called the start of bear market and gave 18k as bottom target, however target was 16k, so was wrong here. Next mistake was few months ago when BTC was at 30k and I called to short towards 22-23k, however market only dropped till 25k instead towards my target, was wrong.No matter what, predicting the start of the bull market at 16-18k, is something that allows me to have a pretty big smile each time when watching my portfolio increasing day by day. Indeed, not even planning to sell these bags. Indeed, a new ATH is just a matter of time
Clash of Cultures
A potential clash between the original vision of Bitcoin and the mainstream financial system emerges. Critics, including Senator Elizabeth Warren and SEC Chair Gary Gensler, warn of legitimizing an industry they view as fraught with fraud. Better Markets, with ties to these skeptics, emphasizes the risk of a Bitcoin ETF legitimizing an industry allegedly in need of greater scrutiny.
The Long-Term Impact
Beyond the immediate excitement, the long-term implications of a Bitcoin ETF approval remain uncertain. Will increased accessibility to Bitcoin through traditional financial channels dilute its original vision of being a peer-to-peer, self-custodial currency? Concerns about fees and the potential pricing out of certain demographics, particularly in the developing world, add complexity to the debate.
Conclusion
In the midst of these debates and uncertainties, the cryptocurrency community awaits the SEC’s decision on the pending ETF applications. As the industry braces for potential changes, it’s essential to reflect on the fundamental questions surrounding Bitcoin’s evolution. Will it retain its core principles, or will mainstream adoption reshape its trajectory?